Mapp Pharma’s ZMapp Appears to be Getting 30x the News Coverage as Tekmira’s TKM-Ebola

A couple of crude experiments this Saturday led me to reaffirm my short thesis on Tekmira Pharmaceuticals.

Ending the week on little to no new news regarding the drug TKM-Ebola, Tekmira investors are being forced to wait until the WHO’s meeting Sept. 4-5 to hear more about the drug that they’re convinced is going to yield them a fortune.

I, on the other hand, am a bit more skeptical.

Conducting a Google Trends search randomly this morning, I can see that Mapp Pharmaceutcal’s “ZMapp” – the drug responsibly for possibly curing two of the disease – is getting the significant coverage. 

Being that my short thesis is based on Tekmira being over hyped, this is what I was expecting/hoping to see.
trend

 

In addition, Google notes that “TKM-Ebola wasn’t searched for often enough to appear on the chart.” Interesting.

Searching the news for the names of the two drugs reveals that ZMapp is getting about 30x the coverage that TKM-Ebola is.

z

 

This doesn’t rule out Tekmira getting coverage at some point, but it’s another step in the right direction for Tekmira shorts.

My original short thesis remains in tact:

With an increasing number of shares, and continued losses from operations, we should be able to see a walk down of TKMR’s price as the weeks go on and the Ebola craze is put behind us. $13 and the two moving averages seem to represent the next level of support for the stock – should it move under them, we could be seeing a move back to pre-Ebola levels near $10. The stock is relatively thinly traded and news and analysis on the name could be picked up quickly due to the Ebola trend combined with the derivative nature of people wanting to profit from it (either way).

 

2 thoughts on “Mapp Pharma’s ZMapp Appears to be Getting 30x the News Coverage as Tekmira’s TKM-Ebola

  1. That seems illogical? No?

    If it was over hyped, it would indicate more hits than Z-Mapp? Maybe Z-Mapp is the one that is over hyped?

    You are twisting everything to support your short thesis.

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    1. If Mapp was a public company with the same structure as TKMR, it’d be trading at $75-$100 IMO.

      Just because ZMapp is ridiculously more overhyped than TKMR doesn’t mean that TKMR isn’t overhyped.

      All this company does is lose money, look at the financials. When this Ebola thing is over, the stock will deflate faster than Bob Dole without his Cialis.

      Like

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